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New York: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 64.2% of the two-party vote share in New York, whereas Trump will end up with 35.8%. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to collect only 64.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice is to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 63.2% of the two-party vote in New York. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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