New Mexico: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 53.8% for Clinton, and 46.3% for Trump in New Mexico. In comparison, on November 7 Trump was predicted to win 46.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models can include large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, one should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 55.5% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 1.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New Mexico.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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