Nevada: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 50.5% of the two-party vote share in Nevada, while Trump will end up with 49.5%. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to collect 50.6% of the vote.

Nevada is traditionally a swing state, where Democrats and Republicans have historically achieved similar levels of support among voters. This is why the election outcome here is considered important in determining the overall result of the presidential election.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they may contain large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 52.0% of the two-party vote in Nevada. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 1.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Nevada.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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