The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 50.5% of the two-party vote share in Nevada, while Trump will end up with 49.5%. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to collect 50.6% of the vote.
Nevada is traditionally a swing state, where Democrats and Republicans have historically achieved similar levels of support among voters. This is why the election outcome here is considered important in determining the overall result of the presidential election.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they may contain large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 52.0% of the two-party vote in Nevada. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 1.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Nevada.