Missouri: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead
The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 44.8% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, while Trump will win 55.2%.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they often incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 54.2% of the two-party vote in Missouri. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.