Missouri: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 44.8% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, whereas Trump will win 55.2%. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to win only 44.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 54.2% of the two-party vote in Missouri. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Missouri.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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