Missouri: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead
The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 44.8% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, whereas Trump will win 55.2%. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to win only 44.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 54.2% of the two-party vote in Missouri. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Missouri.