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Mississippi: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 44.7% for Clinton, and 55.3% for Trump in Mississippi. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to achieve 44.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 54.9% of the two-party vote in Mississippi. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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