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Mississippi: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a major vote share of 44.9% for Clinton, and 55.1% for Trump in Mississippi. In comparison, on November 3 Trump was predicted to collect 54.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results vs. other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Mississippi has Trump at 0.0% of the two-party vote. Relative to his numbers in the Crosstab model Trump's econometric model average is 55.1 percentage points lower.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 55.3% of the two-party vote in Mississippi. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 7.8 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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