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Minnesota: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 55.2% for Clinton, and 44.8% for Trump in Minnesota. In comparison, on November 3, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 55.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, because they often include substantial errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

If we look at an average of Minnesota econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 0.0%. This value is 55.2 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the Crosstab model.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 55.3% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 2.5 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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