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Massachusetts: New Western NE University*Western NE University* poll shows Trump behind by 30 points


On November 6, Western NE UniversityWestern NE University released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Massachusetts were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.

Western NE UniversityWestern NE University poll results




Of those who replied, 56.0% said that they would vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 26.0% declared that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.

This poll was conducted from October 23 to November 2, among a random sample of 417 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-5.0 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls can incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single polls, the recommended strategy rely on combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

For the following comparison, we translate the candidates' raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This procedure results in figures of 68.3% for Clinton and 31.7% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

If we look at an average of Massachusetts polls, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 67.5%. This value is 0.8 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the Western NE UniversityWestern NE University poll. This deviation is within the poll's sampling error, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 65.2% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. Hence, the combined PollyVote is 3.1 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore in line with the poll's margin of error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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