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Massachusetts: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead


The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 66.7% for Clinton, and 33.4% for Trump in Massachusetts.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may include substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of Massachusetts econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 0.0%. This value is 66.7 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the DeSart & Holbrook model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 65.3% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Massachusetts. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 14.0 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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