On November 6, Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Maryland were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.
Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll results
Of those who responded, 63.0% said that they would vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 28.0% revealed that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.
This poll was conducted from March 30 to April 3.
Putting the results in context
Single polls may include large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single polls, forecasting research recommends to consult combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, we convert them into two-party vote shares. This procedure yields values of 70.0% for Clinton and 30.0% for Trump.
The poll in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 65.7% of the two-party vote in Maryland. Hence, Polly's forecast is 4.3 points below her polling numbers.