On November 5, Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Maryland were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.
Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll results
The results show that 63.0% of respondents intend to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 28.0% are going to vote for billionaire Donald Trump.
The poll was carried out between March 30 and April 3. The sample size was 0 participants.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single polls, because they often contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single polls, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
For the following comparison, we convert the candidates' raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. The resulting figures are 69.2% for Clinton and 30.8% for Trump. To compare: 70.0% was obtained by Clinton in the Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll on November 1, for Trump this result was only 30.0%.
Comparison to other polls
An average of recent polls in Maryland has Clinton at 69.4% of the two-party vote. Relative to her numbers in the Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll Clinton's poll average is 0.2 percentage points better.
The poll compared with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 66.0% of the two-party vote in Maryland. That is, the PollyVote is 3.2 points below her polling numbers.