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Maryland: New Goucher College poll shows Clinton with 33 points lead


Results of a new poll administered by Goucher College were circulated on November 7. The poll asked respondents from Maryland for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.

Goucher College poll results




The results show that 58.0% of respondents would give their vote to former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 25.0% would vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.

This poll was conducted from September 17 to September 20, among a random sample of 514 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-4.3 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Single polls should be interpreted with caution, since they may incorporate substantial biases. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, one can convert them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 69.9% for Clinton and 30.1% for Trump.

The poll compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 65.4% of the two-party vote in Maryland. Hence, the combined PollyVote is 4.5 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus outside the poll's sampling error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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