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Maryland: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead


The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 64.9% for Clinton, and 35.1% for Trump in Maryland.

Putting the results in context

Single models may include substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Clinton is currently at 0.0% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Maryland. This value is 64.9 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the DeSart & Holbrook model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 66.0% of the two-party vote in Maryland. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 12.2 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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