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Maine: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead


The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 55.9% of the two-party vote share in Maine, while Trump will end up with 44.1%. In comparison, on November 6, Clinton was predicted to end up with 56.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, one should consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 55.2% of the two-party vote in Maine. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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