The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a major vote share of 55.8% for Clinton, and 44.3% for Trump in Maine. In comparison, on November 3, Clinton was predicted to achieve 56.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, as they often contain large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results compared to other econometric models
Clinton is currently at 0.0% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Maine. This value is 55.8 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Crosstab model.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 55.2% of the two-party vote in Maine. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 3.1 percentage points higher.