Louisiana: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead
The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 41.4% for Clinton, and 58.6% for Trump in Louisiana.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can include substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 58.5% of the two-party vote in Louisiana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.