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Latest WBUR/MassINC poll in Massachusetts: Trump trails by a huge margin


Results of a new poll conducted by WBUR/MassINC were distributed on November 6. The poll asked interviewees from Massachusetts for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.

WBUR/MassINC poll results




Of those who replied, 57.0% said that they would vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 31.0% revealed that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out from October 13 to October 16 with 502 likely voters. The margin of error is +/-4.4 points, which means that the poll results for Trump and Clinton differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

Single polls may contain substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following comparison, we translate Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 64.8% for Clinton and 35.2% for Trump.

Results in comparison to other polls

If we look at an average of Massachusetts polls, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 67.5%. In comparison to her numbers in the WBUR/MassINC poll Clinton's poll average is 2.7 percentage points better. This difference is within the poll's error margin, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.

The poll compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 65.3% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. Hence, the PollyVote is 0.5 points above her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's error margin reveals that this difference is insignificant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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