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Kentucky: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, whereas Trump will win 64.5%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 61.6% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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