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Kentucky: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 38.1% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, whereas Trump will end up with 62.0%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, we recommend to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 61.6% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kentucky.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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