Results of a new poll administered by Fort Hays St. University were distributed on November 6. The poll asked respondents from Kansas for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.
Fort Hays St. University poll results
Of those who responded, 27.0% said that they plan to vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 44.0% declared that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from July 11 to July 21. A total of 542 likely voters responded.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls often include substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, forecasting research recommends to use combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, we translate them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 38.0% for Clinton and 62.0% for Trump. To compare: Only 37.0% was gained by Clinton in the Fort Hays St. University poll on November 3, for Trump this number was 63.0%.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 57.3% of the two-party vote in Kansas. Hence, Polly's prediction is 4.7 points below his polling numbers.