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Kansas: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 41.2% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, whereas Trump will win 58.8%. In comparison, on November 4 Trump was predicted to obtain 58.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Kansas sees Trump at 0.0% of the two-party vote. Relative to his numbers in the Crosstab model Trump's econometric model average is 58.8 percentage points worse.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 57.3% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 11.5 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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