The Issue-index model enters the index models component of the PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 56.4% for Clinton, and 43.6% for Trump. In comparison, on November 4, Clinton was predicted to gain 56.7% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single index models, since they can contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other index models
An average of recent index models has Clinton at 53.6% of the two-party vote. This value is 2.8 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Issue-index index model.
The Issue-index model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 52.7% of the two-party vote. The results of the Issue-index model for Clinton are thus 3.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.