The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 50.6% for Clinton, and 49.4% for Trump in Iowa.
Historically, Iowa has been a purple state, in which no single party has had overwhelming support to clinch that state's electoral college votes. Hence, forecasts here are of particular interest.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, because they can contain substantial biases. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 50.3% of the two-party vote in Iowa. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 0.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Iowa.