The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 36.8% for Clinton, and 63.2% for Trump in Idaho. In comparison, on November 5 Trump was still predicted to achieve 63.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 64.3% of the two-party vote in Idaho. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Idaho.