The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 68.3% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, whereas Trump will end up with 31.7%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 69.7% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Hawaii.