DeSart & Holbrook model in Hawaii: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 68.3% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, whereas Trump will end up with 31.7%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 69.7% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Hawaii.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

*