Hawaii: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 68.3% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, while Trump will win 31.7%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be interpreted with caution, as they can include large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

Clinton currently achieves 0.0% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Hawaii. This value is 68.3 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the DeSart & Holbrook model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 69.7% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.4 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 15.6 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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