Crosstab model in Georgia: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 48.4% for Clinton, and 51.6% for Trump in Georgia. In comparison, on November 6 Trump was still predicted to achieve 51.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 52.1% of the two-party vote in Georgia. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Georgia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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