DeSart model in Kentucky: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Kentucky.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be interpreted with caution, since they may incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 61.3% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.