The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 36.0% for Clinton, and 64.0% for Trump in Kansas.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 57.3% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.