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DeSart model in Kansas: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 36.0% for Clinton, and 64.0% for Trump in Kansas.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 57.3% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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