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DeSart & Holbrook model in Washington, D.C.: Clinton is in the lead


The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 93.8% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., while Trump will end up with 6.2%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, one should consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

If we look at an average of Washington, D.C. Econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 0.0%. Compared to her numbers in the DeSart & Holbrook model Clinton's econometric model average is 93.8 percentage points worse.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 91.4% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 2.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C.. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 41.1 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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