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DeSart & Holbrook model in Oklahoma: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 35.7% of the two-party vote share in Oklahoma, whereas Trump will win 64.3%.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be regarded with caution, since they can include large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Oklahoma sees Trump at 0.0% of the two-party vote. This value is 64.3 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the DeSart & Holbrook model.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 64.0% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Oklahoma. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 17.0 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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