The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 35.7% of the two-party vote share in Oklahoma, whereas Trump will win 64.3%.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be regarded with caution, since they can include large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models in Oklahoma sees Trump at 0.0% of the two-party vote. This value is 64.3 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the DeSart & Holbrook model.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 64.0% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Oklahoma. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 17.0 percentage points higher.