DeSart & Holbrook model in California: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 65.5% for Clinton, and 34.5% for Trump in California.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be regarded with caution, because they can incorporate large biases. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 62.3% of the two-party vote in California. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 3.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in California.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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