DeSart & Holbrook model in California: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 65.5% for Clinton, and 34.5% for Trump in California.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be regarded with caution, because they can incorporate large biases. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 62.3% of the two-party vote in California. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 3.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in California.