Crosstab model in Washington, D.C.: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 91.8% for Clinton, and 8.2% for Trump in Washington, D.C.. In comparison, on November 7, Clinton was predicted to win only 91.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, don't be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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