The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 91.8% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., whereas Trump will win 8.2%. In comparison, on November 6 Trump was predicted to obtain 8.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models can incorporate large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, one should use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 91.4% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.