Crosstab model in Washington, D.C.: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 92.0% for Clinton, and 8.0% for Trump in Washington, D.C.. In comparison, on November 5 Trump was still predicted to gain 8.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 91.4% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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