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Crosstab model in Washington, D.C.: Clinton is in the lead


The Crosstab model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 92.0% for Clinton, and 8.0% for Trump in Washington, D.C.. In comparison, on November 4 Trump was still predicted to obtain 8.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't be too confident the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Washington, D.C. Has Clinton at 0.0% of the two-party vote. This value is 92 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the Crosstab model.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 91.4% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C.. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 39.3 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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