The Crosstab model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 92.0% for Clinton, and 8.0% for Trump in Washington, D.C.. In comparison, on November 4 Trump was still predicted to obtain 8.1% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't be too confident the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models in Washington, D.C. Has Clinton at 0.0% of the two-party vote. This value is 92 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the Crosstab model.
The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 91.4% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C.. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 39.3 percentage points higher.