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Crosstab model in Washington: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 59.3% of the two-party vote share in Washington, while Trump will end up with 40.7%. In comparison, on November 3 Trump was still predicted to achieve 40.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other econometric models

If we look at an average of Washington econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 0.0%. Relative to her numbers in the Crosstab model Clinton's econometric model average is 59.3 percentage points lower.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 59.0% of the two-party vote in Washington. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 6.6 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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