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Crosstab model in Virginia: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 53.6% of the two-party vote share in Virginia, while Trump will end up with 46.4%. In comparison, on November 5 Trump was still predicted to garner 46.6% of the vote.

Historically, Virginia has been a swing state, in which neither the GOP nor the Democrats have had overwhelming support to clinch that state's electoral college votes. Therefore, forecasts here are of particular value.

Putting the results in context

Single models may incorporate large errors, and should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 53.8% of the two-party vote in Virginia. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.2 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Virginia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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