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Crosstab model in Utah: Trump is in the lead


The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 38.8% for Clinton, and 61.2% for Trump in Utah. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to gain only 38.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, as they often incorporate substantial biases. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 59.1% of the two-party vote in Utah. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 2.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Utah.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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