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Crosstab model in Texas: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 45.0% of the two-party vote share in Texas, whereas Trump will end up with 55.0%. In comparison, on November 3 Trump was predicted to achieve 54.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be interpreted with caution, because they may contain large biases. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Texas sees Trump at 0.0% of the two-party vote. This value is 55 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the Crosstab model.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 54.6% of the two-party vote in Texas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 7.7 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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