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Crosstab model in South Dakota: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 37.9% of the two-party vote share in South Dakota, while Trump will end up with 62.1%. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to win 38.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 60.0% of the two-party vote in South Dakota. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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