The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 38.8% of the two-party vote share in South Dakota, whereas Trump will end up with 61.2%. In comparison, on November 3, Clinton was predicted to gain only 37.9% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, because they often include substantial biases. Rather than relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
Trump can currently count on 0.0% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in South Dakota. This value is 61.2 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the Crosstab model.
The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 59.9% of the two-party vote in South Dakota. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in South Dakota. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 13.9 percentage points higher.