The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 47.1% for Clinton, and 52.9% for Trump in South Carolina. In comparison, on November 5 Trump was still predicted to obtain 53.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 54.1% of the two-party vote in South Carolina. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.2 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in South Carolina.