Crosstab model in Oregon: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 57.2% for Clinton, and 42.8% for Trump in Oregon.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, you should not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 57.3% of the two-party vote in Oregon. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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