The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 48.6% of the two-party vote share in Ohio, while Trump will end up with 51.4%. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 48.5% of the vote.
Historically, Ohio has been a battleground state, in which neither the GOP nor the Democrats have had overwhelming support to secure its electoral college votes. Hence, predictions here are of particular value.
Putting the results in context
Single models often incorporate large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 49.4% of the two-party vote in Ohio. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.