The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 36.0% for Clinton, and 64.0% for Trump in North Dakota.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be interpreted with caution, because they often include large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Trump is currently at 0.0% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in North Dakota. This value is 64 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the Crosstab model.
The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 60.0% of the two-party vote in North Dakota. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 4.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in North Dakota. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 16.7 percentage points higher.