Crosstab model in New York: Clinton is in the lead
The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 63.2% of the two-party vote share in New York, whereas Trump will end up with 36.9%. In comparison, on November 6, Clinton was predicted to gain 64.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models often contain large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.
The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 63.1% of the two-party vote in New York. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.