The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 54.2% of the two-party vote share in New Mexico, while Trump will win 45.8%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, as they can contain large biases. Rather than trusting the results from single models, one should look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 55.7% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 1.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New Mexico.