The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 58.4% of the two-party vote share in New Jersey, whereas Trump will win 41.6%. In comparison, on November 5, Clinton was predicted to end up with 58.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, since they can include substantial errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.
The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 59.2% of the two-party vote in New Jersey. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.8 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New Jersey.